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U.S. Opening Bell: Earnings, Regulations Weigh On Stocks; Commodities Slump

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  • US futures lower after big tech earnings beats
  • China regulators pressure regional tech shares
  • Dollar firms

Key Events

On Wednesday, contracts on the four major US indices—the S&P, NASDAQ, Dow and Russell 2000—were down at time of writing along with European stocks which ended a three-day advance after mixed corporate results and weaker commodity prices pressured markets.

Treasury yields slipped and the US dollar climbed.

Global Financial Affairs

The pan-European STOXX 600 Index fell, along with miners, which tracked a drop in raw materials, including aluminum and iron ore, and oil.

STOXX 600 Daily

STOXX 600 Daily

The index retreated today from record levels. Yesterday’s high was 476.06, the benchmark’s highest level since it hit 476.16 intraday on Aug.13. The closing price on Tuesday was 475.74, just a hair below the Aug. 13, 475.83 record close. The index appeared to find resistance at these levels, as can be seen via both the diminishing volume in its recent rally since the Oct. 6 low, as well as the falling momentum.

Deutsche Bank (DE:DBKGn) sold off this morning, losing more than 3%, after the Germany-based financial institution missed on earnings. Shares of Spain’s Banco Santander (MC:SAN) dropped despite seeing higher profits in the third quarter, perhaps because investors saw a chance to take some profit. 

Shares of Dutch brewer and beverage maker Heineken (AS:HEIN) slumped after the company reported steeper than expected declines in Q3 beer sales.

HEIN Daily

HEIN Daily

Technically, the stock is struggling to complete a small H&S bottom, protected by the 200 DMA.

The stock of German sportswear manufacturer Puma (DE:PUMG), gapped up by almost 3%, pushing shares forward toward its fourth straight weekly gain, after the company lifted its sales forecast.

Earlier Wednesday, Asian equities sold off after Australia’s inflation remained high, exacerbating fears that it will get out of hand and disrupt the much hoped for economic recovery. Australia’s ASX 200 barely rose, gaining only 0.07%. An early advance was offset by weakened mining stocks.

The steep domestic inflation figures coincided with a steep decline in retail giant Woolworths Group (ASX:WOW) sales. All things considered, the fact that the ASX 200 was able to record a gain at all may be considered impressive, under these circumstances. It was the benchmark’s 6th straight advance.

The Australian dollar slipped into the red after initially gaining on the theme of rising rates. The country’s 10-year bond yield also gave up most of an advance.

AUD/USD Daily

AUD/USD Daily

The AUD/USD appears to have found resistance at the 200 DMA. The Aussie has been unable to overcome this barrier since Oct. 20. For now, however, the price is finding support at the bottom of a rising channel.

Another headwind for Asian equities: fresh concerns about escalating tech-focused regulations out of Beijing after, “China’s internet watchdog said it planned stricter registration rules for younger net users.” That triggered the sharpest decline in seven weeks for Chinese tech shares.

The selloff coincided with spiking short-term yields, as traders presumably bet on rising interest rates. China’s Shanghai Composite dropped by nearly a full percent. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng plummeted by 1.75%.

Japan’s Nikkei dropped 0.15% amid worries about central bank responses to inflation. Still, traders managed to trim a much steeper decline, to the tune of 0.8%.

US 10-year Treasury yields were down for a fourth day, as investors routed funds out of stocks and into bonds.

UST 10Y Daily

UST 10Y Daily

The move is technically justifiable within its rising channel, supported by the 200 DMA.

The dollar climbed for the third day in a row.

Dollar Daily

Dollar Daily

The global reserve currency may be heading back toward the top of its rising channel, after finding support by the 93.50 level since Oct. 19.

Gold slipped for a second day.

Gold Weekly

Gold Weekly

The precious metal’s current decline—if it lasts till this week’s close—will put a halt to its two-week rally. This may be a signal that the return move is over, and the weekly H&S continuation pattern will go into effect pushing the yellow metal lower.

Bitcoin fell back below $60,000, per our forecast earlier this week.

BTC/USD Daily

BTC/USD Daily

The cryptocurrency completed a small H&S top, after diminishing momentum provided a negative divergence.

Oil slipped.

Oil Daily

Oil Daily

WTI has been falling, now tracking momentum that’s been dropping since September. More recently, the commodity has failed its rising trend.

Up Ahead

Market Moves

Stocks

Currencies

  • The British pound was little changed at $1.3754
  • The Dollar Index was little changed
  • The euro was little changed at $1.1604
  • The Japanese yen rose 0.4% to 113.71 per dollar
  • The offshore yuan was little changed at 6.3841 per dollar

Bonds

  • Britain’s 10-year yield declined three basis points to 1.08%
  • The yield on 10-year Treasuries was little changed at 1.62%
  • Germany’s 10-year yield declined one basis point to -0.13%

Commodities

  • WTI crude fell 1.5% to $83.35
  • Spot gold fell 0.3% to $1,787.19 an ounce

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